Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.809839 2.100292 2.420290 2.798703 3.233702 3.717824 4.297237
2025-02-16 1.309937 1.664909 2.090646 2.637845 3.321497 4.146422 5.216412
2025-02-23 0.968956 1.335209 1.808763 2.463748 3.343900 4.483237 6.067485
2025-03-02 0.729213 1.081282 1.568487 2.288304 3.320672 4.743198 6.846816
2025-03-09 0.598569 0.948238 1.462580 2.268710 3.493898 5.278187 8.064083
2025-03-16 0.485510 0.817839 1.335086 2.191125 3.563276 5.665224 9.113466
2025-03-23 0.437288 0.778381 1.336823 2.307047 3.937544 6.549548 11.025628
2025-03-30 0.389720 0.730569 1.315680 2.379375 4.247275 7.366190 12.930647
2025-04-06 0.339546 0.668730 1.259858 2.381693 4.435230 8.000545 14.606686
2025-04-13 0.280750 0.580353 1.142588 2.255250 4.375847 8.199350 15.547531
2025-04-20 0.256800 0.554529 1.135828 2.330286 4.690402 9.091528 17.829185
2025-04-27 0.239405 0.538715 1.145323 2.436594 5.075704 10.154396 20.547338
2025-05-04 0.215750 0.506877 1.120335 2.475105 5.342862 11.044284 23.082467
2025-05-11 0.193349 0.473889 1.088030 2.493921 5.573359 11.892457 25.645793
2025-05-18 0.166989 0.427077 1.018659 2.422478 5.604035 12.341510 27.453870
2025-05-25 0.141302 0.376967 0.933689 2.302512 5.510647 12.517681 28.705411
2025-06-01 0.127601 0.353939 0.907596 2.313980 5.713043 13.349711 31.473171
2025-06-08 0.111542 0.321806 0.854524 2.252780 5.737948 13.792304 33.427325
2025-06-15 0.107324 0.320558 0.877756 2.382923 6.237174 15.366962 38.151154
2025-06-22 0.100973 0.312237 0.881580 2.464261 6.627196 16.732518 42.543215
2025-06-29 0.091968 0.294608 0.858085 2.470617 6.828689 17.672202 46.023323
2025-07-06 0.078764 0.261924 0.788382 2.341837 6.661816 17.692941 47.250018
2025-07-13 0.074601 0.256235 0.793438 2.420977 7.059372 19.169925 52.307217